SportsQuant 24 November, 2012
College Football Rankings
Our SEC Championship game prediction:
SportsQuant has computed the current 2012 rankings based on our proprietary algorithm that allows comparisons among teams that do not play one another directly.
As anyone familiar with Sports knows, beating the team that beat the team that you are about to play does not insure that you will win, any more than playing a team you beat earlier in the season assures you a win against them in the next contest. All this makes ranking teams difficult.
Our methods are based on team strengths (both offensive and defensive) by choosing strength values that maximize the likelihood (i.e., probability) that the season turned out the way it did. We base our bowl prediction on these strengths, and other factors, like home field advantage.
Rankings through the weekend of 24 November, 2012
You will find our weekly Strength-of-Schedule ratings here.
Football strategy
When to go for it on 4th down, and other topics.
- David Annis, Ph.D.
Purdue, 2003
(Mathematical Statistics)